{"id":278303,"date":"2021-12-16T07:36:41","date_gmt":"2021-12-16T07:36:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&p=278303"},"modified":"2022-06-14T14:37:51","modified_gmt":"2022-06-14T14:37:51","slug":"fomc-dung-ke-hoach-lai-suat-giu-nguyen-hay-tro-dua-cua-fed-nhan-dinh-thi-truong-16-12-2021","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/market-outlook\/fomc-dung-ke-hoach-lai-suat-giu-nguyen-hay-tro-dua-cua-fed-nhan-dinh-thi-truong-16-12-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"FOMC \u0111\u00fang k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean hay \u201ctr\u00f2 \u0111\u00f9a\u201d c\u1ee7a FED? | Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 16.12.2021"},"content":{"rendered":"

C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c FED coi tr\u1ecdng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nhanh h\u01a1n v\u00e0 cao h\u01a1n<\/strong><\/h2>\n

FED \u0111\u00e3 mua \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 80 t\u1ef7 USD tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c v\u00e0 40 t\u1ef7 USD ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2020 nh\u1eb1m gi\u1eef cho chi ph\u00ed \u0111i vay \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng l\u01b0u th\u00f4ng. Th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y cho bi\u1ebft s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m mua tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c 10 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00e1ng v\u00e0 mua tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p 5 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00e1ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 leo thang v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng. Theo l\u1ecbch tr\u00ecnh m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra, m\u1ed7i th\u00e1ng FED s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m mua tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c 20 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p 10 t\u1ef7 USD. Theo \u0111\u00f3, FED s\u1ebd mua \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 40 t\u1ef7 USD tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c v\u00e0 20 t\u1ef7 USD tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p m\u1ed7i th\u00e1ng, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u00e2u h\u01a1n trong n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng l\u00e0 FED gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1eeb 0 \u0111\u1ebfn 0,25%, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3\/2020. Trong khi FED ch\u01b0a th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o khi n\u00e0o s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean FOMC k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed cho vay s\u1edbm h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9\/2021. 10 trong s\u1ed1 18 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a FOMC d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn FED s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 3 l\u1ea7n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2022, \u0111\u01b0a ph\u1ea1m vi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00ean 0,75-1%.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng dao \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00e1i chi\u1ec1u do cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC l\u00ean gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trong s\u1edbm ng\u00e0y 16\/12\/2021. Thi\u0323 tru\u031bo\u031b\u0300ng h\u00f4m qua thi\u0300 \u0111a\u0303 die\u0302\u0303n bie\u0302\u0301n theo 2 chie\u0302\u0300u, theo \u0111u\u0301ng lua\u0323\u0302n \u0111ie\u0323\u0302u cu\u0309a Powell, \u0111a\u0302\u0300u tie\u0302n la\u0300 chie\u0302\u0300u co\u0301 lo\u031b\u0323i cho \u0111o\u0302\u0300ng USD va\u0300 sau \u0111o\u0301 la\u0300 ba\u0302\u0301t lo\u031b\u0323i cho \u0111o\u0302\u0300ng USD. Gia\u0301 Va\u0300ng cu\u0303ng \u0111a\u0303 dao \u0111o\u0323\u0302ng vo\u031b\u0301i bie\u0302n \u0111o\u0323\u0302 30$\/oz. HI\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 1781 USD\/Oz sau khi gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn l\u00e0 1752, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn l\u1ef1c mua tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i sau nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m tra t\u1ea1i h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 1762.<\/p>\n

Ta\u0323m tho\u031b\u0300i thi\u0300 ma\u0323\u0306c du\u0300 thi\u0323 tru\u031bo\u031b\u0300ng co\u0301 ve\u0309 nhu\u031b \u0111a\u0303 \u0111i\u0323nh gia\u0301 he\u0302\u0301t ta\u0302\u0301t ca\u0309 ca\u0301c tin tu\u031b\u0301c na\u0300y, nhu\u031bng bo\u0302\u0301i ca\u0309nh hie\u0323\u0302n ta\u0323i va\u0302\u0303n \u0111ang nghie\u0302ng ve\u0302\u0300 phi\u0301a co\u0301 lo\u031b\u0323i cho \u0111o\u0302\u0300ng USD, \u0111a\u0323\u0306c bie\u0323\u0302t khi ECB co\u0301 the\u0302\u0309 se\u0303 “bo\u0302\u0300 ca\u0302u ho\u031bn” trong nga\u0300y ho\u0302m nay, tie\u0302\u0301p tu\u0323c da\u0302\u0303n \u0111e\u0302\u0301n nhu\u031b\u0303ng su\u031b\u0323 “pha\u0302n ky\u0300” trong chi\u0301nh sa\u0301ch cu\u0309a 2 NHTW lo\u031b\u0301n nha\u0302\u0301t the\u0302\u0301 gio\u031b\u0301i.<\/p>\n

Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng trong h\u00f4m nay \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 1792. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 V\u00e0ng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 1773. Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch V\u00e0ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean qu\u00e1 thi\u00ean v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0o v\u00e0 c\u1ea7n xem x\u00e9t s\u1ef1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9<\/span> s\u1ed1<\/span> Dow Jones<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>l\u01b0\u1edbt<\/span> m\u1ea1nh<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>khi<\/span>\u00a0FED <\/span>gi\u1eef<\/span> nguy\u00ean<\/span> l\u00e3i<\/span> su\u1ea5t<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

Vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a FED \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c gi\u00fap ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Dow Jones t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh trong ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m qua. C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu Apple v\u1ecdt g\u1ea7n 3%, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. C\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 Microsoft v\u00e0 Netflix c\u0169ng t\u0103ng. H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft 11 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c thu\u1ed9c S&P 500 \u0111\u1ec1u giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea3 3 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh tr\u00ean ph\u1ed1 Wall \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda s\u1eafc xanh. Trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u00e0i gi\u1edd, S&P Futures, Nasdaq Futures v\u00e0 Dow Futures c\u0169ng trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean. K\u1ebft th\u00fac phi\u00ean 15\/12, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Dow Jones t\u0103ng 383,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m (+1,08%), l\u00ean 35.927,43 \u0111i\u1ec3m. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S&P 500 t\u0103ng 75,76 \u0111i\u1ec3m (+1,63%), l\u00ean 4.709,85 \u0111i\u1ec3m. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Nasdaq Composite t\u0103ng 329,94 \u0111i\u1ec3m (+1,25%), l\u00ean 15.565,58 \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n

Theo ghi nh\u1eadn k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt th\u00ec DJA \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c 35650 v\u00e0 35820. Tuy nhi\u00ean kh\u00f3 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng DJA s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng v\u00ec c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n FED v\u1eabn \u0111ang nghi\u00eang m\u1ea1nh v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t QE nhanh nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1eeb bi\u1ebfn ch\u1ee7ng Omicron v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u0111\u00f3. \u0110\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh b\u1ecb FOMO, vi\u1ec7c ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i DJA \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1edbi l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a v\u1ecb th\u1ebf giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n

M\u1edf t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n ngay<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c FED coi tr\u1ecdng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nhanh h\u01a1n v\u00e0 cao h\u01a1n FED \u0111\u00e3 mua \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 80 t\u1ef7 USD tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c v\u00e0 40 t\u1ef7 USD ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2020 nh\u1eb1m gi\u1eef cho chi ph\u00ed \u0111i vay \u1edf […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":288142,"template":"","market_outlook_categories":[],"market_outlook_tags":[],"class_list":["post-278303","market_outlook","type-market_outlook","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"current_lang":"vi","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/278303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_outlook"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/278303\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/288142"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=278303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_categories?post=278303"},{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_tags?post=278303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}