{"id":315919,"date":"2022-07-11T10:31:28","date_gmt":"2022-07-11T10:31:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&p=315919"},"modified":"2022-07-11T10:31:32","modified_gmt":"2022-07-11T10:31:32","slug":"nhan-dinh-thi-truong-11-7-202","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/market-outlook\/nhan-dinh-thi-truong-11-7-202\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD t\u0103ng t\u1ed1t. BoC d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m kh\u00e1 ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 USD Index<\/strong>\u00a0<\/h2>\n
\"usd-index-zfx\"<\/figure>\n

V\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec thay \u0111\u1ed5i khi m\u00e0 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed. \u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn l\u00e0 k\u00eanh an to\u00e0n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh lo ng\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, do \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 DXY \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c ph\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec9nh.  
\u1ede bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Tu\u1ea7n, DXY v\u1eabn v\u1eefng v\u00e0ng n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2016, ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 r\u1ed9ng m\u1edf \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1eadp t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2001. Ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 h\u01a1n \u1edf bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Ng\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 \u0111ang \u0111i trong m\u1ed9t k\u00eanh gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng kh\u00e1 d\u1ed1c bi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb cho m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n.   <\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec qu\u00e1 kh\u00f3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 La v\u1eabn \u0111ang v\u00e0 s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00ean l\u00e0m l\u00fac n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 n\u00f3i KH\u00d4NG<\/strong> v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c d\u00f2 \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a DXY khi m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed. Tuy nhi\u00ean, CPI th\u00e1ng 6 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 n\u1ebfu d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00fang so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o.  <\/p>\n

 
M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh \u1edf m\u1ee9c 103 v\u00e0 s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u201cBuy on dip\u201d \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi DXY n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m. <\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n NZD\/USD\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0<\/h2>\n
\"nzdusd-zfx\"<\/figure>\n

V\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed3ng USD \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n qu\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong th\u1eddi gian v\u1eeba qua \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u201chigh beta\u201d nh\u01b0 NZD ng\u1ee5p l\u1eb7n trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a New Zealand s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 t\u1edbi, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 RBNZ n\u1ed1i g\u00f3t RBA ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean 2,5%. Do \u0111\u00f3, NZD\/USD s\u1ebd ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.  
\u1ede bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 qua v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y 0,62 bi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1. V\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 0,59-0,6 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ecm v\u1ec1 trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 trung h\u1ea1n. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 n\u00ean \u01b0u ti\u00ean canh b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi NZD\/USD. <\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n USD\/CAD<\/strong>\u00a0<\/h2>\n
\"usdcad-zfx\"<\/figure>\n

V\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 D\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c USD m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean t\u1eebng ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn USD\/CAD t\u0103ng t\u1ed1t trong th\u1eddi gian v\u1eeba qua. Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 1,3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y. Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Ng\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 \u0111ang n\u1eb1m trong m\u1ed9t k\u00eanh gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c th\u1ea5p ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 sideway tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9c ph\u00e1 n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3. \u00a0
V\u00e0o th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 t\u1edbi, BOC s\u1ebd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Canada sau khi th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kh\u00e1 ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c v\u00e0o tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecf ng\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng BOC c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ho\u1eb7c t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf h\u01a1n l\u00e0 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00fac n\u00e0y. Do \u0111\u00f3, tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi s\u1ebd l\u00e0 tu\u1ea7n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00e1 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb v\u1ecb tr\u00ed USD\/CAD, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 1,282-1,308 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 t\u1ed1t \u1edf m\u1ed9t trong hai h\u01b0\u1edbng. Gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 qua 1,308 m\u1ea1nh th\u00ec ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd xem x\u00e9t canh Buy l\u00ean v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 1,33-1,34. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 qua 1,282 ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd canh b\u00e1n xu\u1ed1ng v\u00f9ng c\u1ea1nh d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u1ee7a k\u00eanh gi\u00e1 \u1edf 1,26-1,27.<\/p>\n

M\u1edf t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u giao d\u1ecbch ngay<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 USD Index\u00a0 V\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec thay \u0111\u1ed5i khi m\u00e0 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed. \u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn l\u00e0 k\u00eanh an to\u00e0n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121,"featured_media":315926,"template":"","market_outlook_categories":[],"market_outlook_tags":[],"class_list":["post-315919","market_outlook","type-market_outlook","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"current_lang":"vi","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/315919","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_outlook"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/121"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/315919\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/315926"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=315919"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_categories?post=315919"},{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_tags?post=315919"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}