{"id":316846,"date":"2022-07-18T12:19:44","date_gmt":"2022-07-18T12:19:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&p=316846"},"modified":"2022-07-18T12:19:46","modified_gmt":"2022-07-18T12:19:46","slug":"nhan-dinh-thi-truong-18-7-2022","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/market-outlook\/nhan-dinh-thi-truong-18-7-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam 100bp trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC th\u00e1ng 7"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 USDX<\/strong> <\/h2>\n
\"usdx-zfx\"<\/figure>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Ng\u00e0y <\/p>\n

V\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u th\u00f4ng tin \u0111an xen trong tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn DXY bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng ngh\u1ec9. Tuy nhi\u00ean, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf khi m\u00e0 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u1ec9nh – \u0111\u00e1y cao h\u01a1n v\u1eabn r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, vi\u1ec7c canh Mua v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi DXY v\u1eabn l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n an to\u00e0n trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y khi m\u00e0 m\u1ecdi th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn \u0111ang h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ed1t. <\/p>\n

Tuy v\u1eady, v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean c\u1ee7a tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, DXY \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Waller v\u1ec1 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 100bp ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n 50% so v\u1edbi 80% \u1edf \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n. Tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, ta th\u1ea5y DXY xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t c\u1ee5m n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m Engulfing. Do \u0111\u00f3, trong tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi r\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 DXY s\u1ebd c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 m\u1ed1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 105-106. Tuy nhi\u00ean v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng, s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 mang t\u00ednh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. <\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 US30<\/strong> <\/h2>\n
\"us30-zfx\"<\/figure>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Ng\u00e0y <\/p>\n

L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a US30 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay. Sau khi t\u1ea1o v\u00f9ng ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ec9nh, US30 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh v\u1ec1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u00e0 \u0111i ngang t\u1ea1i 30.000-31.000 trong 1 th\u00e1ng qua. H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ea1i 30.000 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee9ng cho US30 l\u00fac n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eadt t\u0103ng t\u1ed1t t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y sau th\u00f4ng tin t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Waller.  <\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean khung Daily, US30 t\u1ea1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn t\u0103ng kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u. Trong tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hai ch\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1ea1i n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i c\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i 33.000. <\/p>\n

 
V\u00e0ng – XAU\/USD<\/strong> <\/h2>\n
\"xauusd-zfx\"<\/figure>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Ng\u00e0y <\/p>\n

L\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ngh\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 La n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 kh\u00f3 hi\u1ec3u khi V\u00e0ng ch\u00ecm trong \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m su\u1ed1t 5 th\u00e1ng qua k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi l\u1eadp \u0111\u1ec9nh t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 2070. Gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 quay v\u1ec1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3n t\u00e2m l\u00fd 1700. Tr\u00ean khung Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, v\u00f9ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ed1t v\u00e0 c\u00f3 l\u1ebd gi\u00e1 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 g\u1ea7n h\u1ebft c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng tin ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed. Do \u0111\u00f3, 1700 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 b\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ee1 \u0111\u1ec3 V\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y trong tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfn s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ebfn trendline gi\u1ea3m tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 quanh khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y.  <\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng tin b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd\u00a0\u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn V\u00e0ng xuy\u00ean th\u1ee7ng 1700, khi \u0111\u00f3 V\u00e0ng s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh m\u1edbi v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u00fang ta t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m B\u00c1N\u00a0t\u1ed1t.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0
D\u1ea7u USOIL<\/strong>\u00a0
<\/h2>\n
\"usoil-zfx\"<\/figure>\n

\u1ede khung\u00a0Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y,\u00a0D\u1ea7u \u0111ang ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ea1i h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u00f9ng 94-95 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 quanh khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y. Bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 WTI c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra trong ph\u1ea1m vi\u00a094 \u2013 105 v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 linh ho\u1ea1t BUY – SELL trong ph\u1ea1m vi n\u00e0y.\u00a0<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c tin t\u1ee9c v\u0129 m\u00f4 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang c\u00f3 v\u1ebb t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi D\u1ea7u. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng li\u1ec7u D\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3\u00a0gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp hay kh\u00f4ng th\u00ec s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c v\u0129 m\u00f4 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1edbn khi m\u1ee9c 94 USD \u0111ang l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

M\u1edf t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u giao d\u1ecbch ngay<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 USDX  Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Ng\u00e0y  V\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u th\u00f4ng tin \u0111an xen trong tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn DXY bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng ngh\u1ec9. Tuy nhi\u00ean, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf khi m\u00e0 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u1ec9nh – \u0111\u00e1y cao h\u01a1n v\u1eabn r\u00f5 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121,"featured_media":316851,"template":"","market_outlook_categories":[],"market_outlook_tags":[],"class_list":["post-316846","market_outlook","type-market_outlook","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"current_lang":"vi","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/316846","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_outlook"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/121"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/316846\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/316851"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=316846"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_categories?post=316846"},{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zfxvn.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_tags?post=316846"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}